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Forecasting Daily TransJakarta Ridership with an ARDL Model
Time series forecasting of daily TransJakarta passenger counts (Jan 2023 - Jun 2024) using an Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) model with route adjustment as an external variable. Covers optimal lag selection (AIC), diagnostic tests, train/test evaluation with MAPE, and multistep forecasting.
One-Way ANOVA in Matrix Form: Chlorophyll Content of Three Leaf Types
One-way ANOVA for a completely randomized design in R, comparing chlorophyll content in cassava, spinach, and lettuce leaves. Builds the linear model in matrix form (X’X, X’y, reparameterization), computes the ANOVA table manually and checks it against aov(), then tests normality and homogeneity of variance.
Factorial ANOVA in a Randomized Block Design: Effect of Variety and Fertilizer on Plant Height
Analysis of a two-factor experiment in a randomized block design using R. Tests the main effects of variety and fertilizer, their interaction, and the block effect with ANOVA, and visualizes the interaction with an interaction plot.
Multiple Linear Regression: Factors Affecting the Democracy Index across Indonesian Provinces
Multiple linear regression on provincial data (34 provinces) to identify factors affecting the democracy index, such as press freedom, number of CSOs, HDI, and public information openness. Covers multicollinearity check (VIF), outlier, leverage and influence diagnostics, classical assumption tests, and model selection (forward, backward, stepwise, best subsets).